Isizathu oku wenziwe yatyhila ngaphambi koko
Phezu yobomi nje iinyanga, ngamazwe zoluntu ke ingqalelo wenziwe ngokulinganayo! kwi-ngokuqhubekayo imbambano phakathi Japan ne-China, abachaphazelekayo kunye kunye amazwe claiming umnini uninhabited kweziqithi Senkaku (okanye Diaoyu, njengoko Isitshayina jonga kubo) kwi-Mpuma-China YolwandleNgoseptemba ka, imbambano olunxulumene tensions phakathi zombini amazwe weza a ngakumbi ezinobungozi sesishumi. Ngomhla we- septemba, ne-China wathumela ezintathu yayo naval iinqanawa ukuba patrol indawo, adjacent ukuba disputed kweziqithi (Harlan A). Nkqu nokuba ukuba, ngathi namhlanje, akukho ngqo ingozi kuba Japan ne-China babe obandakanyekayo kwi-military confrontation, ngelixa wayekhusela benza ntoni jonga njengoko zabo 'zembali sovereignty' phezu disputed kweziqithi, apho unako kuba mbalwa doubts njengoko yokuba, ngenxa ngaphambi koko kuchazwe imbambano, ubudlelwane phakathi zombini amazwe kokuba ugcinwa enkulu ukuvuthuzela. Ukuze kuthi ukuba nako ukuzuza i-ubunzulu elithetha, njengoko oko kwiphondo zichazwe kuba injongo iimeko eziphambili kuba oku territorial imbambano phakathi Japan ne-China ukuba zivela, kwindawo yokuqala, kwaye kanjalo njengokuba ntoni sichaza essence le imbambano ke observable emanations, sibe kakuhle jonga ukufunda ka-discursively afanelekileyo amanqaku, equlethwe kumgaqo-New York, phinda-Phinda kwaye comment ingxwaba Ngeposi newspapers. Onikiweyo yokuba Senkaku kweziqithi amele kakhulu abancinane xabiso, njengoko okunokwenzeka habitable iindawo (ngabo essentially rocky iintaba ukuba intonga ngaphandle seabed), sibe kubonakala ukuba akukho kakhulu rationale kuba Japan ne-China ungakunqandi kunye claiming ezi kweziqithi inxalenye yabo wesizwe territories. Oku, nangona kunjalo, kude ekubeni kunjalo, ngenxa ngexesha yobomi nje decades, geologists iqinisekiswa ukuba seabed, jikelele Senkaku kweziqithi, iqulathe enkulu efakwa ebhankini-oli kunye igesi yendalo (Fackler A). Ngenxa efanelekileyo ukusebenza kakuhle kunye amazwe' olungenangxaki usesinye ngokupheleleyo dependent kwi zendalo, exported ukusuka ngaphesheya, akukho nto ingakumbi odd malunga amandla China kwaye Japan ke ukuzinikela claiming sovereignty phezu abachaphazelekayo kweziqithi. Apparently, kunye: Japan ne-China, ingaba le meko ulawulo lwazo Senkaku kweziqithi njengoko enjalo ukuba usesinye vitally ebalulekileyo, ngaphakathi imeko yezi zimbini amazwe striving ukwandisa kangangoko yabo yezoqoqosho ukuzimela. Lento ngoba, xa siqhubeke ngaphambi kwexesha layo geopolitical-ajenda, malunga kweziqithi kulo mbuzo, China stresses ngaphandle 'zembali intswela-bulungisa' Senkaku kweziqithi xa ebe annexed yi-Japan ngowe. Kanti ke, kwaba, ingakumbi ngexesha yobomi abangamashumi asixhenxe (xa seabed jikelele Senkaku kweziqithi wenziwe proven otyebileyo kwi-zendalo), ukuba China kokuba wabeka a territorial nebango ezi barren amatye kwi-yolwandle. Apparently, phambi discovery-oli negesi engaphantsi - disputed kweziqithi, China ayikwazanga care ngaphantsi malunga 'reestablishment lobulungisa', oku ngokubhekiselele (Harlan A). Kukho, nangona kunjalo, omnye umba kulo mba - eyokuba China kwaye Japan ke olungenangxaki ingaba thoroughly interdependent. Ngokunxulumene Fackler kwaye Johnson, ngathi namhlanje, Ejapan usesinye ekubhekiswe kuye njengoko China ke yesibini likhulu urhwebo iqabane lakho (emva USA), kunye kangakanani of Japan ke kwezoqoqosho enciphisayo kwi-China appearing nkqu ngakumbi, ngenxa ye inani leminyaka China wenziwe mbasa i-Japan ke ibaluleke kakhulu urhwebo iqabane lakho (i-a). Njengoko kwakunjalo pointed ngaphandle kwi ngaphambi koko kuchazwe inqaku, Isijapanese iinkampani ngoku employ ishumi zesibonelelo Isitshayina abasebenzi. Wawo jika, oku sichaza indlela apho Isitshayina abasemagunyeni kuphethwe 'sporadic' outbreaks ka-Isitshayina abemi' umsindo phezu yokuba, ephikisana China ke, iimfuno, Ejapan uqhubekeka ibango sovereignty phezu Senkaku Kweziqithi. Njengoko kwakunjalo iqaphele yi-Bradsher, Fackler kwaye Jacobs, agasti ka- wabona a inani violent protests uthatha indawo kwi izitrato ezininzi Isitshayina izixeko (A).
Ngexesha manifesting zabo frustration kunye benza ntoni waqwalasela njengoko Isitshayina kukarhulumente nokungabikho enthusiasm kwi-reclaiming Senkaku kweziqithi ukusuka kwi-Japan, protesters ogxeka umlilo i-inani sushi restaurants kwaye Isijapanese-manufactured iimoto.
Nangona kunjalo, kunikwa yokuba kwi-China, akukho bantu ke 'sporadic' demonstrations zenzeke, ngaphandle ekubeni orchestrated yi-governmental abasemagunyeni, kwaye kanjalo yokuba China ke riot-amapolisa aye kusebenza a ngenye excessive yesitalato umkhosi, ngexesha uzama uku kuwachithachitha amandla demonstrators, abaninzi ezopolitiko observers kwi-West ndagqiba ukuba kwakukho abathile umyalezo ngaphandle kwehlabathi njani na Isitshayina abasemagunyeni kuphethwe ezi-antayi-Isijapanese 'pogroms'.
Apparently, Isitshayina urhulumente babefuna kuthi kanti, ayo stance kwi malunga Senkaku kweziqithi usesinye thoroughly exhaswa uninzi China ke nokuqheleka abemi, oku kuphela ayinakuze ukukhonza njengoko elungileyo ngokwaneleyo isizathu China ukusebenzisa military umkhosi, ngexesha reclaiming i-disputed kweziqithi (Wan A). Nkqu nokuba ukuba ngaphambi koko kuchazwe umyalezo sele kubonakala ukuba ingaba kokuba i-nceda linda ngelixa, akukho nto ngokupheleleyo ukwenzeka malunga identifying enye imbambano ke amaqela abachaphazelekayo, oko kwaba kanye wathumela - USA isizathu lento iselwa apparent - ntle mbasa i-Japan ke foremost geopolitical ally, Emelika sele izibophelelo ukubonelela military aid ukuba Ijapan, kwiimeko xa i-territorial ingqiqo kweli lizwe usesinye threatened. Ithetha ntoni kukuba, ukuba ekhohlo unresolved kuba prolonged xesha, ngokuqhubekayo territorial imbambano phakathi Japan ne-China babe enyanisweni ngenxa kwi-USA wokuba obandakanyekayo. I-iyasebenza kwesi ingxelo awunakuba kuphela kuba explored, malunga yintoni i-akhawunti ye-subtleties a military intsebenziswano phakathi Emelika kwaye Japan, kodwa kanjalo malunga yokuba, nkqu nokuba ukuba USA kokuba isuswe yayo military bases ukusuka Etaiwan, nangona kunjalo maintains kakhulu vala amakhonkco kunye kweli lizwe. Kanti ke, China uqwalasela Sasetaiwan i-integral inxalenye yayo territory - nkqu nangona okwethutyana zahlukane ukususela mainland-China. Ukwenza izinto nangakumbi okunokwenzeka threatening ukuya kummandla ke geopolitical uzinzo, Taiwanese amagosa kanjalo cinga Senkaku kweziqithi njengoko enjalo ukuba rightfully belong ukuba Etaiwan.
Wawo jika, oku iifayile sichaza kutheni, ngathi namhlanje, i-american governmental amagosa kuxoxwe imbambano ke geopolitical iziphumo zemisebenzi yokufama njengoko enjalo ukuba kuphela nkxalabo Japan ne-China, xa uzama ukuba benyuke nge-wonke zemali, kulungiselelo imbambano, kwi thoroughly careful hlobo.
Apparently, nokuba abemnye imbambano ke ngqo kwaye ngokungathanga ngqo obandakanyekayo abachaphazelekayo usesinye anomdla evumela tensions ukuba escalate. Nangona kunjalo, enikwe Senkaku Kweziqithi' geopolitical noqoqosho ukubaluleka, kubaluleke kakhulu kusenokwenzeka ukuba bobabini: China kwaye Japan, iza kuqhubeka uthatha i-ithuba nje malunga ne-wonke kunyulo olunoxolo ithuba ukuqinisekisa zabo sovereignty phezu kwabo. Wawo jika, oku sichaza kutheni kwakukho inani kofakwano uthetha-thethwano, malunga imbambano, ebibanjwe phakathi Isijapanese kwaye Isitshayina phezulu-amagosa. Nkqu nokuba ukuba, ngathi namhlanje, ukuthelekisa sikazwelonke ezi uthetha-thethwano ihlala unclear, kakhulu yokuba imbambano ke enkulu abachaphazelekayo isitsho zabo ukukuthakazelela ukusombulula lo mba kwi thoroughly civilized uhlobo, phakamisa ukuba ekubeni ngokwenene kunokwenzeka, Japan ne-China ukufikelela a kunyulo olunoxolo isivumelwano, le intlonipho. Kunokuthi kakuhle kuyenzeka ukuba Japan ne-China uya kuvuma ukuba usharedi umnini Senkaku kweziqithi (Fackler A). Enye ngaphambi koko kuchazwe amanqaku' foremost ngamandla unako kakuhle kwathathelwa ingqalelo yokuba, xa ecacisa kwesi sihloko mba, bonke ababhali zihleli thoroughly analytical. Lona kanye kanye yintoni kuvunyelwe kwabo ukuqinisekisa ukuba zabo amanqaku ingaba ngenene isiwe njengoko ngokupheleleyo legitimate kwimithombo ulwazi malunga ne-China-Japan territorial imbambano ke origins, kwaye njengoko oko unako kuthatyathwa esi imbambano ke discursive significance. Yintoni kanjalo idibanisa ukuba la manqaku' ixabiso yokuba, xa neyokusebenza kwabo, ababhali kubonakala ukuba ingaba wenza deliberate incopho ekugcineni yabo ebhaliweyo wagqitywa buzzword-free. Apparently, kuyo yonke indlela yokubhala zabo amanqaku, ababhali zange segolide ekubeni ngobukho elula yokuba kukho ingaba ngenene kakhulu abancinane rationale kwi-infusing nje malunga nayiphi na ukubhalwa umbhalo kunye sophistically sounding kodwa essentially meaningless politically echanekileyo euphemisms.
Esi sisizathu sokuba kutheni ukufunda ezi amanqaku iya kuza ingakumbi handy kuba abo injongo ukuzuza ngcono yokwazisa ngayo ngamazwe politics ngokwenene umsebenzi.
Nangona kunjalo, nkqu nokuba ukuba kukho kusenokuba ezimbalwa doubts, njengoko yokuba yonke ngaphambi koko kuchazwe ababhali yaye eneneni waphumelela ngowe-zilungiselela abafundi kunye plenty ka-factual ulwazi, afanelekileyo ngoku ngokuqhubekayo territorial imbambano phakathi Japan ne-China, apho kubonakala ngathi ethile drawback ukuba imigca argumentation, isola kwi amanqaku. Oku drawback usesinye ikakhulu abachaphazelekayo kunye yokuba i-ababhali kubonakala ukuba behlawule abancinane efuna ingqalelo njani inkqubo China wokuba ngonaphakade ngakumbi economically kwaye militarily enamandla, kwesinye isandla, kwaye inkqubo ye-America ke geopolitical impembelelo siqhubeke weaken, kwelinye, wadala injongo izinto ezifunwe kwixesha elidlulileyo kuba China na ukuthatha i-aggressive stance, ngeli lixa i-claiming umnini Senkaku kweziqithi. Ukongeza, abancinane kakhulu ingqwalasela ethe yanikwa ukuba yokuba, nkqu nangona USA yenza konke okusemandleni ukukunika ukuba enze njengoko i-impersonal mayuda phakathi China kwaye Japan zabo ezininzi nje territorial imbambano, eli lizwe hardly i kstars indima. Oku ngenxa Emelika usesinye objectively anomdla Japan siqhubeke basebenzise i-igunya phezu Senkaku Kweziqithi Isizathu lento apparent - kanye Japan usesinye ubeke eliphetheyo ka-ukukhupha i-oli ngaphandle seabed ukuba surrounds Senkaku kweziqithi, eli lizwe liya kuba kokukhona kusenokwenzeka ukuba ukuvumela inkqubo kuba controlled yi-Plt-oli-amakhulu. Njengokuba kude kube ngoku njengoko wam personal uluvo mba usesinye abachaphazelekayo, ndiyakholelwa ukuba kwixesha elide qhuba, Ejapan andisayi kuma nethuba ngokuchasene-China e-territorial imbambano, abachaphazelekayo kunye Senkaku kweziqithi. Ekubeni kuphela de jure elizimeleyo lizwe (nkqu namhlanje, Ejapan akuvumelekanga ukugcina indlu efanelekileyo umkhosi), Ejapan ngokulula akanalo sanele kuthetha ukuba ikhusele yayo territorial umdla kulo mmandla - ingakumbi xa confronting-China. Onikiweyo yokuba, ngenxa inani injongo izizathu, Emelika ke impembelelo kummandla kakhulu sifuna ukuqhubeka lokukhula undermined, kukho kusenokuba ezimbalwa kakhulu doubts njengoko yokuba kubalulekile ke kuphela mba ixesha, phambi Japan agrees ukuba China ke ufuna ukuba arhoxe ukusuka Senkaku kweziqithi. Keith, Umartin Fackler kwaye Uandreya Jacobs.
